Top 12 ‘resilient’ regions revealed

• Affordability – the Local Government Area (LGA) has a median price below the maximum affordable property sale price (average state loan + 20 per cent deposit).

• Property trends – to ensure statistical reliability, the LGA will have 20 transactions or more in 2018 and 2019, with positive price growth within that time period.

• Investment – to ensure solid investment opportunities, the LGA will have an on-par or higher rental yield than its capital city, as well as an on-par or lower vacancy rate compared with its capital city.

• Project development – the LGA will have a high estimated value of future project development, with a higher concentration of commercial and infrastructure projects to ensure a positive economic outlook.

• Unemployment rate – as of the December quarter 2019, the LGA will have an on-par or lower unemployment rate than the state average, to ensure there is local job growth.

Based on the above criteria, the top 12 most resilient regions, according to PRD, are:

1. Douglas Shire (Qld)

2. Cairns Region (Qld)

3. Tablelands Region (Qld)

4. Livingstone Shire (Qld)

5. Upper Hunter Shire (NSW)

6. Singleton Area (NSW)

7. Greater Hume Region (NSW)

8. Greater Bendigo City (Vic)

9. Moyne Shire (Vic)

10. Bass Coast Shire (Vic)

11. South Gippsland Shire (Vic)

12. Kentish Municipality (Tas)

“The Australian property market is made up of many ‘micro markets’, each performing at its own individual pace dependent upon demographics, population growth, economic structure and fundamentals, and local/state government policies,” the PRD report noted.

“Regional property markets tend to be more resilient compared to their capital city counterparts due to being slightly more insulated from economic shocks, and many local/state governments prioritising regional areas growth over the past five years.

“For first home buyers and investors, finding an affordable option in capital cities can be challenging. This is especially true as the state average loan only makes up between 51.9 per cent (Sydney) to 76.1 per cent (Brisbane) of the median house price in the capital cities.”

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