Foreign interest to have big hand in shaping property this year

“In particular, Australia will continue to attract foreign capital supported by a cheap AUD, positive yield spreads to debt enabling positive funding from leverage and the lag effect of cap rate compression due to some skepticism of further runs in yield as we hit all-time yield lows/highs in valuation.

“2020 will see the commercial office sector continue to compress, supported by limited supply and developer discipline as CBD tenants begin to push their boundaries of space capacity. A lot of our clients will continue to favour the Sydney and Melbourne CBD, North Sydney, Parramatta and, interestingly, are beginning to think Perth has reverted too far and may provide risk opportunities. As with Perth, Brisbane could also provide risk opportunities as vacancies contract and new development remains scarce.”

Furthermore, the industrial sector will continue to attract capital in 2020, Mr Craig said.

“We are concerned about the low growth in rents; however, the inbuilt rent bumps of 2-3 per cent will support overall,” he said.

“Retail is the interesting asset class and, perhaps with tough retail sales turnover, a forgotten asset class with opportunities. With centres such as Marion in SA and Booragoon WA recently trading relatively easily for their financial size and demand for non-discretionary retail still sought after (especially by private investors and syndicates), there remain no forced sellers in response to financiers requirements, although there have been funds withdrawal demands that may have prompted transactions.

“Retail is worth looking at, especially supported by population densification and rising or changing socio-economic conditions of the surrounding demographic.”

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