Housing activity plummets as prices stabilise

“Although housing values were generally slightly positive over the month, the trend has clearly weakened since mid-to-late March, when social distancing policies were implemented and consumer sentiment started to plummet,” CoreLogic’s head of research, Tim Lawless, said.

The capital city markets generally showed a weaker performance relative to the regional markets, with the combined capital cities index up 0.2 per cent in April compared with a 0.5 per cent rise across the combined regional markets.  

The sharpest reversal in growth conditions can be seen in Melbourne, where values nudged into negative territory through April, down 0.3 per cent. Sydney values remained positive, rising 0.4 per cent over the month. To provide some context, the six months prior to March saw both cities averaging a monthly growth rate around 1.7 per cent. 

According to Mr Lawless, Australia’s largest cities have a higher level of downside risk as COVID-19 sees border closes.  

“Sydney and Melbourne arguably show a higher risk profile relative to other markets due to their large exposure to overseas migration as a source of housing demand, along with greater exposure to the downturn in foreign students, stretched housing affordability and already low rental yields that are likely to reduce further on the back of rising vacancy rates and lower rents.”

Hobart was the only other major region to record a decline in home values over the month, down 0.1 per cent.

Mr Lawless explained the Hobart drop was due to it having the most exposure to industries that are impacted by COVID-19 – “12.7 per cent of the workforce employed within accommodation and food services, and arts and recreation services sectors”.

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