When are interest-only loans going to be more viable again?

However, that does not mean lenders will give up their increased scrutiny entirely.

“Because you come out of royal commission, you come out of... an Australian banking review... we’ve had a Productivity Commission; you overlay that and the banks can’t be seen back to lax lending standards. It’s almost what got us here in the first place,” Mr Christie-David told Smart Property Investment.

In saying that the scrutiny will remain, Mr Christie-David added that interest-only loans will be here to stay.

“There will always be a market for [interest-only loans]. There will always be enough demand for it that lenders will always have that product. The banks can just get choosier as to who they sell that product to, and that’s probably where people may over-leverage themselves,” the MD said.

There is also an element of rises in consumer spending such as luxury car sales and generally high living expenses, Mr Christie-David said, which these rises resulting in impacts on serviceability.

“Until people start to get their heads around it, get confidence and we get through the next few years of uncertainty, I’d probably say 2021, 2022 is when we’ll start to turn a corner as well.”

Before this, in 2020 is what Mr Christie-David has previously referred to as the “danger zone” for interest-only lending, when these loans will roll over into principal and interest loans.

“You look at the numbers where they roll off, when they go from paying interest-only to principal and interest. That becomes a real concern,” Mr Christie-David said.

“You could get easily drawn into the trap that you start to get interest-only loans, [but] you haven’t provisioned for P&I repayments as well.

“Whereas if you’re two, three steps ahead, if you are forced, in a tougher environment, go to P&I, and then once you then come out of tougher lending and things start to ease up a little bit as well, then you’re going to be there to go back into an interest-only loan.”

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